Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
William & Mary (15-39) | 1 | 2 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 0 | +7.0 | 16% | ✔ | |
Charleston (36-19) | 5 | 6 | -4.0 | 64% | 7 | -7.0 | 84% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Elon (36-23) | 3 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 6 | -2.5 | 64% | ✘ | |
James Madison (26-26) | 4 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 3 | +2.5 | 36% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Northeastern (36-21) | 3 | 5 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 4 | +5.0 | 24% | ✔ | |
Texas Tech (45-20) | 22 | 9 | -4.0 | 64% | 9 | -5.0 | 76% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Hofstra (23-23) | 5 | 3 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 0 | +7.0 | 16% | ✘ | |
UNCW (39-23) | 3 | 5 | -2.0 | 58% | 7 | -7.0 | 84% |
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 75%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 50%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 75%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 50%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.